A Systems Tool for Prescriptive Policy Analysis [Elektronisk resurs]Labelled Causal Mapping Method for Policy-oriented Modelling, Simulation and Decision analysis

E-bokAvhandlingEngelska2016

Förlag, utgivningsår, omfång ...

Publicerad:Stockholm :Publicerad:Stockholm University,Publicerad:2016
56

Nummerbeteckningar

LIBRIS-ID:v64x77dwsvtqps2g
http://urn.kb.se/resolve?urn=urn:nbn:se:su:diva-134949uri
urn:nbn:se:su:diva-134949urn

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Språk:engelska

Ingår i deldatabas

deldatabas:Eplk_tEPLK

Serie

Report Series / Department of Computer & Systems Sciences,1101-85261101-8526 ;16-011

Anmärkningar

Härtill 3 uppsatser
Sense4us - Data insights for policymakers and Citizens
EU, FP7, Sjunde ramprogrammet [611242]
Lic.-avh. (sammanfattning) Stockholm : Stockholms universitet, 2016
gratis
The elicitation and processing of relevant information is the core of any policy decision-making process. Modelling is about making sense of the available information. Models are able to incorporate the contextual influences on policy making (e.g. political and economic environments, community sentiment…etc). Systems analysis allows quantitative, empirical testing of models that exist in the study of public policy. Simulation and visualisation techniques can help policy makers to reduce uncertainties on the possible impacts of policies. In an effort to enable adoption of the systems thinking approach to address the central problem of empirical political study, this thesis presents a framework for prescriptive policy analysis that provides decision support to: the problem definition, ex-ante impact assessment and evaluation activities carried out at the policy formulation stage of the policymaking process. We contribute a new tool for systemic modelling and simulation of public policy decision situations. It aims to facilitate the cognitive activity of representing complex mental models using system dynamics simulation modelling. Using the ’labelled causal mapping’ method, a policy-oriented problem structuring method introduced in this research, the tool bridges the gap between the user’s mental model and the explicit graphical representation in order to enable knowledge representation and system analysis. The method provides a basis for further computational decision analysis using a common policy appraisal format, a multi-criteria model with main evaluation criteria (effectiveness, efficiency, relevance, coherence and added value), linked to a set of measurable, context dependent attributes (targeted impact variables from the policy model). A web-based tool prototype has been implemented in a Node.js environment and is accessible both from a web-based graphical user interface as well as a hosted API. Multiple demonstration and test cases, from various policy areas and different EU policymaking levels, were used in several iterations of the build-evaluate cycle. This approach lead to the different studies that make up this research.

Ämnesord och genrebeteckningar

Natural Sciences hsv
Computer and Information Science hsv
Computer Science hsv
Naturvetenskap hsv
Data- och informationsvetenskap hsv
Datavetenskap (datalogi) hsv
data- och systemvetenskap su
Computer and Systems Sciences su
government publication marcgt
Public Policy
Systems analysis
Causal mapping
Policy modelling and simulation
Policy evaluation

Biuppslag (personer, institutioner, konferenser, titlar ...)

Larsson, Aron (preses)
Sundgren, David (preses)
Schlüter, Maja (opponent)
Stockholms universitetSamhällsvetenskapliga fakulteten (utgivare)

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Ingår i:Värdpublikation

Seriebiuppslag

Report Series / Department of Computer & Systems Sciences,1101-85261101-8526 ;16-011

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